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Value Investing Resources
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- The Ben Graham Centre for Value Investing
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- House of Debt: Amir Sufi and Atif Mian's Blog
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- The Adam Smith Institute
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Tag Archives: CAPE
Counterfactual Friday: The CAPE
Current Market Perspective: Moderately bearish based on three pieces of information: Our bottom-up security selection process is revealing few bargains; Total public and private debt in developed countries is unsustainably high relative to GDP and will require long, painful de-leveraging … Continue reading
Just What is Seth Klarman up to? It May not be What Optimists Believe
Apparently, Seth Klarman is in the market for capital. This is always news because Klarman has a reputation for shunning capital from new investors and frequently returning excess capital to existing investors. However, the author of the attached story has … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Behavioral Finance, Benjamin Graham, CAPE, CFA Institute, China, Conventional Professional Investors, Financial Media, Free Markets, Housing Bust, Invisible Hand, Jason Zweig, Long-Short, Margin of Safety, Quantitative Easing, Risk, Seth Klarman, Short Sales, Tobin's Q Ratio, Value Ideas, Value Investing
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Many Well Known Hedge Funds are Having Bad Years
Where’s the hedging?… With data flowing in now, it is apparent that a large number of hedge funds are in the red this year and several dozen are down by double-digit rates. They include many well-known names that run billions … Continue reading
Market Valuation, Deus Ex Machina, and Volatility
We have written several times to say that the market in general is overvalued based on earnings (the CAPE) and book value (Tobin’s Q). Even after the recent selloff, the market is still well above long-term averages. However, astute market … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Behavioral Finance, CAPE, China, Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, deus ex machina, Entrepreneurial Spirit, Financial Media, Free Markets, Friederich Hayek, Housing Bust, Invisible Hand, Italy, Margin of Safety, Quantitative Easing, Risk, Robert Shiller, Tobin's Q Ratio, Value Investing
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I am a Proud Member of the “I Don’t Know” School
I read the following in Howard Marks’s latest book (p. 138): “Since the investors of the ‘I Know’ school, described in chapter 14, feel it’s possible to know the future, they decide what it will look like, build portfolios designed … Continue reading
CAPE Update (Or, was Last Week’s 5.6% Market Pop Justified?)
As of July 1, 2011, the Cyclically Adjusted PE (CAPE) ratio for the S&P 500 is 23.13, which essentially means the average share of common stock in the S&P 500 companies trades for 23.13 times its annual earnings averaged over … Continue reading
Another Disconnect w/r/t the Market
Narrowly focused company analysts are raising performance expectations for the businesses they follow while broadly focused market strategists and economists are lowering their estimates for market performance. One group is going to be wrong. David Dreman and many other value … Continue reading
Is the Market Overvalued?
Great investors tend to focus on investing in one company at a time (bottom up) and ignore macroeconomic and macro-market forcasts (top down), but the CAPE and Tobin’s Q ratio are remarkably good at predicting long-run returns for the US … Continue reading
Greenblatt’s Book, Calandro’s Suggestions, and the CAPE
I am sorry for the dearth of posting. Between tax season and attending the CFA Institute’s Annual Conference in Edinburgh, I had little time. A review of Greenblatt’s book can be found here: http://post.nyssa.org/nyssa-news/2011/05/book-review-the-big-secret-for-the-small-investor.html Also on the Post, an interesting … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged CAPE, Joel Greenblatt, Joseph Calandro, Jr, Robert Shiller, The Finance Professionals' Post
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