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Tag Archives: Competition and Strategy
After the Market Plunge: The Market is Still Significantly Overvalued
After the 8/17/15 through 8/21/15 plunge of 5.8% in the S&P 500 index and Dow, many are wondering whether the worst is over. It is impossible to predict what next week or next year will look like, but you ignore at your … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Behavioral Finance, CAPE, Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, Factor Premia, Goals-based investing, Goals-based planning, Margin of Safety, PAR, PAR Wealth Management, Quantitative Easing, Risk, Robert Shiller, Separate Account Value Investing (SAVI) Strategies, Tobin's Q Ratio, Traditional Wealth Management, Value Investing, Warren Buffett
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There was No “De-Leveraging”
Ray Dalio of Bridgewater is fond of calling our government bailout a “beautiful deleveraging” (http://www.bwater.com/Uploads/FileManager/research/deleveraging/an-in-depth-look-at-deleveragings–ray-dalio-bridgewater.pdf) probably because he bet correctly that the flood of liquidity would lift all boats in the short run. But, I have been arguing the point in … Continue reading
This is the Worst Recovery in the Post WWII Era
I think my former Wall Street colleagues know this without the need to read a chart. I added Sufi and Mian’s blog to the economics blogroll on the right after seeing the CFA Institute’s webcast of Sufi’s presentation at a conference … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Amir Sufi, Atif Mian, CFA, CFA Institute, Chartered Financial Analyst, Competition and Strategy, Debt Crisis, Free Markets, House of Debt, Housing Bust, Invisible Hand, Quantitative Easing, Ray Kurzweil, Risk, Singularity, The Rational Optimist, Worst Recovery in History
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What is the Effect of a Label? Smart Beta Makes Bill Sharpe “Sick”
Bill Sharpe gave us the Sharpe Ratio to help determine whether an active investment manager is “beating” the market after adjusting for the risk that the manager assumed. Sharpe is from the Efficient Market school of academia, which believes that markets are … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged and Vishny, Behavioral Finance, Benjamin Graham, Bill Sharpe, CFA, CFA Institute, Chartered Financial Analyst, Closet Indexers, Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, Efficient Market Hypothesis, F&F, Fama and French, Lakonishok, LSV, Margin of Safety, Risk, Seth Klarman, Shleifer, Smart Beta, Value Investing, Warren Buffett, William F Sharpe
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Howard Marks: The Top-Ten Qualities that Make Warren Buffett Different from Most Investors
The following are bullet points reproduced (and numbered by order of appearance) from Howard Marks’s Forward to the third edition of The Warren Buffett Way, by Robert G. Hagstrom. Marks writes a couple of paragraphs to elaborate on each bullet point, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Behavioral Finance, Benjamin Graham, CAPE, CFA, Charlie Munger, Chartered Financial Analyst, Closet Indexers, Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, Howard Marks, Long-Short, Margin of Safety, Risk, Robert Shiller, Seth Klarman, Short Sales, Value Ideas, Value Investing, Warren Buffett
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The Stock Market: Looking in from the Outside
We are nearly halfway through 2013 and the S&P 500 Total Return Index is on pace to deliver a return of over 47% for the year. In the last 188 years of stock market activity, the market delivered an annual return of … Continue reading
Equity Market Histogram: Another Victory for the Mode in 2011
As I recall, I said at the beginning of 2011 that predictions are worthless, but if one takes an outsider’s view there is a 70% chance that the market’s total return will be positive in 2011 and that the most likely event … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, Euro Crisis, Financial Media, Free Markets, Historical Market Histogram, Invisible Hand, Market Returns Histogram, Matt Ridley, Outside View, Predicting the Future, Risk, The Rational Optimist
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The President and CEO of the CFA Institute Presents…
…a video introduction to the Institute’s annual report. John Rodgers has done a fine job and is an excellent spokesman for the CFA Institute. Now, if it could only help charterholders like me raise capital for our investment vehicles…… Continue reading