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Tag Archives: Debt Crisis
The Equity Market Annual Return Histogram Updated for 2012
Better late than never. I have updated the equity market annual return histogram for the 16.00% total return generated by the S&P 500 index in 2012. As Michael Mauboussin says, when understanding an investment idea, we should try take an outsider’s … Continue reading
Public Pension Ponzi Scheme; New York Cities Borrow From Pension Plan to Make Contributions
I was alerted to this post by a friend on Facebook. It points to a New York Times article on pension robbing. Public Pension Ponzi Scheme; New York Cities Borrow From Pension Plan to Make Contributions. The definition of Financial Repression: … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Bloated Public Sector, Debt Crisis, grey swan, Housing Bust, Public Pension, Risk
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An Unusually Large Herd of Grey Swans
Events that can have a significant impact on the economy and capital markets have become known as swans of various shades thanks largely to Nassim Taleb’s book, The Black Swan, in which Taleb reminded us of Karl Popper’s criticism of … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged a herd of grey swans, black swan, CAPE, Debt Crisis, Euro Crisis, European Debt Crisis, Eurozone, grey swan, Housing Bust, Karl Popper, Matt Ridley, Nassim Taleb, Quantitative Easing, The Rational Optimist, The Rational Zoologist, Tobin's Q Ratio, Value Investing, white swans
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With No Changes, the US Will Be Insolvent
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-dirty-secret-in-uncle-sams-friday-trash-dump/2011/12/28/gIQArtWMNP_story.html?tid=sm_btn_tw Buried in GAO financial statements released on the Friday before Christmas was this information (H/T Guy Spier): In fiscal 2011, the cost of [Social Security and Medicare] promises grew from $30.9 trillion to $33.8 trillion. To put that in context, consider … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Debt Crisis, Entitlements, Financial Media, Guy Spier, Quantitative Easing, Risk
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Ron Paul’s Portfolio: “A Cellar-Full of Canned Goods and 9mm Rounds…”
At least that is what William Bernstein thinks (H/T: Greg Mankiw): At our request, William Bernstein, an investment manager at Efficient Portfolio Advisors in Eastford, Conn., reviewed Rep. Paul’s portfolio as set out in the annual disclosure statement. Mr. Bernstein … Continue reading
Cleveland Fed: State of the Consumer
US consumer data does not comport with the optimistic market today (H/T: Jason Zweig) http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/trends/2012/0112/01houcon.cfm  … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, Consumption, Debt Crisis, Housing Bust, Risk
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More on Europe from SocGen and Kyle Bass
From a SocGen Analyst’s note released today: The extraordinary events we’ve seen these past months are now threatening the euro project, and calls for its dismissal, which were laughable a year ago, are becoming more mainstream. Risk aversion has increased … Continue reading
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Tagged Debt Crisis, Euro Crisis, European Debt Crisis, Eurozone, Financial Media, Hayman Capital, Kyle Bass, Risk, Short Sales
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A Close Examination of Federal Stimulus Spending in Silver Spring, MD…
…and the US. Whew. (H/T: Cafe hayek) More evidence that the Austrian School is correct. Paul Krugman still believes we just needed more of this: On another note, George Mason University has quite an impressive number of thinkers in … Continue reading
“It’s a Disaster, the United States…” Kyle Bass
Bass’s usual upbeat outlook on Japan, Europe and the US as broadcast on BNN today. I wish the interviewers would have allowed Bass to fully answer their questions. They cut him off too many times to ask a new question in the … Continue reading