Tag Archives: Margin of Safety

“First, Get a Trillion Euros…”

The market is soaring today on the Greek bailout plan, or should we say the European bailout plan because, lest we forget, there are several more countries that still need a bailout. The plan is amusing to me, though I should … Continue reading

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So, You Think You Can Be a Great Short Seller

I am about to cover the final leg of my NFLX short, which I had in place for over one year. Are you one of the many who saw this coming? Did you expect a 75% drop in price since … Continue reading

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Just What is Seth Klarman up to? It May not be What Optimists Believe

Apparently, Seth Klarman is in the market for capital. This is always news because Klarman has a reputation for shunning capital from new investors and frequently returning excess capital to existing investors. However, the author of the attached story has … Continue reading

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An Academic’s Take on the Value Premium

This is an interesting view of the value premium–the amount by which value stocks’ risk-adjusted returns exceed glamour stocks’ risk-adjusted returns–written by an academic, Tano Santos, who has no apparent horse in the race. We use the term “glamour” instead of “growth” because all … Continue reading

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Another Great One by James Montier

Read the whole thing: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/77f0077c-c35a-11e0-9109-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1YtylE6lL “…there is a simple, although not easy…alternative (to  benchmark-focused investing)…use a value approach across a wide range of assets. Buy when an asset is cheap, and sell when an asset gets expensive – buy low and … Continue reading

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The Investing World’s Reaction to Buffett’s Hiring of Richard “Ted” Weschler

I am surprised at the reaction among investors and the media over Buffett’s selection of Ted Weschler as one of his portfolio management successors, but I suppose I should be used to it by now. The general reaction has been: … Continue reading

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Market Valuation, Deus Ex Machina, and Volatility

We have written several times to say that the market in general is overvalued based on earnings (the CAPE) and book value (Tobin’s Q). Even after the recent selloff, the market is still well above long-term averages. However, astute market … Continue reading

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Prem Watsa, CFA

I used to own Fairfax Financial, which smartly shorted financial stocks and bonds–to the tune of several billion dollars–before they blew up. Here is an enjoyable interview of its CEO–Prem Watsa, CFA–who is a value investor who is sometimes referred … Continue reading

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Whitney Tilson Had a Bad Month and is Having a Bad Year

I am somewhat surprised by this because I thought he was less than 50% net long. (Correction: Tilson made changes to the fund in August which resulted in the fund being 70% net long).  Covering his NFLX short may have hurt … Continue reading

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I am a Proud Member of the “I Don’t Know” School

I read the following in Howard Marks’s latest book (p. 138):  “Since the investors of the ‘I Know’ school, described in chapter 14, feel it’s possible to know the future, they decide what it will look like, build portfolios designed … Continue reading

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