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Tag Archives: Predicting the Future
Equity Market Histogram: Another Victory for the Mode in 2011
As I recall, I said at the beginning of 2011 that predictions are worthless, but if one takes an outsider’s view there is a 70% chance that the market’s total return will be positive in 2011 and that the most likely event … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Competition and Strategy, Conventional Professional Investors, Euro Crisis, Financial Media, Free Markets, Historical Market Histogram, Invisible Hand, Market Returns Histogram, Matt Ridley, Outside View, Predicting the Future, Risk, The Rational Optimist
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A Machine that Predicts the Future?
I have not received this edition yet, but I cannot wait to read the article. A machine that predicts the future? If enough people fall for that, value investors like me will make a mint. In Brief Researchers … Continue reading