Tag Archives: Quantitative Easing

Just What is Seth Klarman up to? It May not be What Optimists Believe

Apparently, Seth Klarman is in the market for capital. This is always news because Klarman has a reputation for shunning capital from new investors and frequently returning excess capital to existing investors. However, the author of the attached story has … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Rumors Drive the Market Upward Again

As I have written before, any news rumor is good news for the market; the aftershock of disappointment is likely to be much more pronounced. From a Dow Jones Newsire report published online at 5:17pm today: On Tuesday, the market … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Why All the Cheer?

I am an optimist by nature, and I hope a rational one in the Matt Ridley vein. But, I do not understand the optimism in the market in the last seven trading days (plus forty-five minutes). Markets are up over … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Market Valuation, Deus Ex Machina, and Volatility

We have written several times to say that the market in general is overvalued based on earnings (the CAPE) and book value (Tobin’s Q). Even after the recent selloff, the market is still well above long-term averages. However, astute market … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

It’s All About the Benjamins: Or, How the Bernanke Market Could Kill Nascent Graham Fund Managers

The Wall Street Journal published an interesting OpEd piece by Mark Spitznagle today. It described Benjamin Bernanke and Benjamin Graham’s conflicting views of markets. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704425804576220983131318962.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop Two disparate views of markets represent well the range of opinion among U.S. stock market participants … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Tobin’s Q Ratio and the Shiller, Graham, & Dodd Price-to-Trailing 10-Year Earnings Ratio

Both ratios show that conditions in the US stock market are getting frothy.    Shiller’s ratio is the same as the one created by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd in 1934. It is self-explanatory. If we ignore the outrageous peak in the … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Third Quarter Letter from David Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital

For your reading pleasure–the third quarter letter from David Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital. David is an excellent value-focused, long-short hedge fund manager and his assets have grown quickly due to his stock selection success. That growth has also led David to … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment