Tag Archives: Risk

In the Blink of an Eye-The Japanese Tsunami

I have attached a link to video of the Japanese tsunami videotaped by a driver in a car. A reminder that real risk is devastation that no one can see coming and that no one can prevent. (H/T: Infectious Greed)… … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Excellent George Will Column on the Hyperactive Regulatory Environment

I found out last week that in my industry, the new Dodd-Frank law says that if I decide to manage investments in separately managed accounts (SMA) for my investors in addition to the private investment fund that I currently manage, it will trigger … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Market Valuation, Deus Ex Machina, and Volatility

We have written several times to say that the market in general is overvalued based on earnings (the CAPE) and book value (Tobin’s Q). Even after the recent selloff, the market is still well above long-term averages. However, astute market … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Prem Watsa, CFA

I used to own Fairfax Financial, which smartly shorted financial stocks and bonds–to the tune of several billion dollars–before they blew up. Here is an enjoyable interview of its CEO–Prem Watsa, CFA–who is a value investor who is sometimes referred … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Whitney Tilson Had a Bad Month and is Having a Bad Year

I am somewhat surprised by this because I thought he was less than 50% net long. (Correction: Tilson made changes to the fund in August which resulted in the fund being 70% net long).  Covering his NFLX short may have hurt … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NFLX News You Can Use

Netflix, Starz contract talks fail                  Date: Thursday, September 1, 2011, 2:46pm PDT http://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2011/09/01/netflix-starz-contract-talks-fails.html?s=print Diana Samuels Reporter – Silicon Valley / San Jose Business Journal Netflix Inc. and Starz Entertainment have failed to reach an agreement in their contract talks, Starz … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Frank Stonach Meets John Galt

It is rare to hear the Chairman of the Board of a public company publicly trash government bureaucrats, especially one from a car part manufacturing company, which is heavily dependent on government regulatory approvals. But, here is Frank Stonach, Chairman of Magna, an … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

I am a Proud Member of the “I Don’t Know” School

I read the following in Howard Marks’s latest book (p. 138):  “Since the investors of the ‘I Know’ school, described in chapter 14, feel it’s possible to know the future, they decide what it will look like, build portfolios designed … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Left in the Dark–How Regulations Encroach on the Private Sector

As readers of this blog know, I believe the regulatory burden imposed by federal and state governments is largely to blame for the stagnation in the US and elsewhere. That burden includes the large amount of things government spends taxpayer money on–such … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NFLX Getting “Hammered” After Hours; Is this the Walk of Shame?

We doubt that missing revenue forecasts by less than 1% is legitimate reason for hammering a stock, especially when its earnings beat by a fair amount. No, it looks more like the morning after an NFLX investor party. At the … Continue reading

Share
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment