Tag Archives: Conventional Professional Investors

Equity Market Histogram: Another Victory for the Mode in 2011

As I recall, I said at the beginning of 2011 that predictions are worthless, but if one takes an outsider’s view there is a 70% chance that the market’s total return will be positive in 2011 and that the most likely event … Continue reading

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JP Morgan Asset Management’s State of the Markets

Many interesting factoids on the current state of the market. Enjoy: JP morgan Asset Management’s Guide to the Markets 12-31-11 Continue reading

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Recent Headlines from a Popular News Aggregator

Recent headlines from a popular news aggregation website: Germany told it must act to save Europe… Impassioned plea for continent to avoid ‘apocalypse’… Warned of ‘highly devastating outcomes’… Just days until collapse? It is hard to believe the US market … Continue reading

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New Link in the Value Investing Resources Section: Hedge Fund Letters

I have added Hedge Fund Letters as a value investing resource even though some of the hedge fund managers there are not value investors. Most value investors who truly wish to be contrarian and invest only when there is a … Continue reading

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Expert Opinion: What is it Worth? Montana, Brady, and Tebow

I am absolutely fascinated with the Tim Tebow story. Not the one about the vilified, overtly Christian athlete. No, I am fascinated with the countless stories of athletes like Tebow that experts said could not be successful, and then end up having one success … Continue reading

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A CNBC Market Master’s Two Remarkable Statements

Larry Fink of BlackRock is CNBC’s newest member of their “Masters of the Markets” club. “That and a dime will get you a phone call” was an expression used during the pay phone era to demonstrate that the recognition was … Continue reading

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It’s 1931

I channel Dow Jones Market Talk, which channels Brad DeLong, who channels Rogoff, Reinhart, and Krugman. MARKET TALK: It’s 1931 DOW JONES NEWSWIRES 5:20 (Dow Jones) “I have been complaining for some time now that Reinhart and Rogoff think that … Continue reading

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“First, Get a Trillion Euros…”

The market is soaring today on the Greek bailout plan, or should we say the European bailout plan because, lest we forget, there are several more countries that still need a bailout. The plan is amusing to me, though I should … Continue reading

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So, You Think You Can Be a Great Short Seller

I am about to cover the final leg of my NFLX short, which I had in place for over one year. Are you one of the many who saw this coming? Did you expect a 75% drop in price since … Continue reading

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Power Laws at Work in Financial Markets

I am working on a good post for the first “Counterfactual Friday.” Unfortunaltely it will probably not be posted until Monday. In the meantime enjoy the following: I have attached a link to a terrific article on power law distributions and … Continue reading

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