Tag Archives: Behavioral Finance

Historical Market Returns by Year (1825 – 2010)

I first saw the Friess Associates and Yale University market return histogram a few years ago and found it fascinating. Barring a large collapse on the last trading day of the year tomorrow, the returns on the S&P 500 (the … Continue reading

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James Montier’s Presentation at the CFA Institute’s European Investment Conference

James Montier is an outstanding strategist who now works for GMO. He spoke last month at the CFA Institute’s European Investment Conference. The attached blogpost summarizes his talk. The money quote: So where do the new normal proponents get it … Continue reading

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Seth Klarman Interview from 2006

On May 1, 2006, Seth Klarman gave an interview for a class at Harvard, Psychology of Leadership.… Continue reading

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Joel Greenblatt’s Appearance on CNBC

Joel Greenblatt is a portfolio manager at Gotham Capital, a value-focused hedge fund, who had a big hit in 1997 with his whimsically titled book, You Can be a Stock Market Genius. Though written for individual investors, it became a must-have book … Continue reading

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Is Value Investing Riskier than Other Investing Strategies?

Efficient Market Hypothesis proponents, like good lawyers, argue that there is absolutely no such thing as a permanent edge in investing and any permanent edge that does exist is riskier than the alternatives. (“Your honor, my client was never in that woman’s apartment and he was only there to return her lost kitten”). I mean, why paint yourself into a corner?

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Are You an Investing Pigeon like Buffett?

How Human Behavior may Lead to a Persistent Edge for Value Investors

Many believe that there can be no permanent edge in investing because they believe that market forces will quickly eliminate any edge. That is, many believe that sophisticated investors will bid up prices in investment strategies that tend to outperform and bid down prices in strategies that tend to lag until the edge disappears.

For my first post on this blog, I will write about a persistent investing edge–value investing–and one reason why that edge may never disappear; that reason being human behavior, which rarely changes. We can thank Jason Zweig (Your Money and Your Brain) and James Montier (Behavioural Investing) for bringing to our attention the behavioral experiments described in this post.

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