Tag Archives: Employment to Population Ratio

Relationship Between Stock Returns and Interest Rate Movements

Posted on December 5, 2015 by Ray Galkowski, CFA

I try to find evidence that refutes my theses on expected market returns to avoid behavioral traps. This graph from JP Morgan Asset Management’s research team offers some optimism for equities for rolling two-year periods if the Fed starts to … Continue reading →

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Market Overvaluation: It’s Not Just the CAPE

Posted on August 30, 2015 by Ray Galkowski, CFA

After my last post, I saw a blog post on another value investing site that criticized the type of CAPE analysis that I presented last week to indicate the market was overvalued. The author of that post suggests that the … Continue reading →

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The Market and the Economy Mid-Year 2014: A Top-Down View

Posted on July 17, 2014 by Ray Galkowski, CFA

I have excerpted part of PAR’s semi-annual letter that PAR sent to clients on July 7, 2014, and I have pasted it below. No one knows where the market is going to end up in the near term, but over the … Continue reading →

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